As some know I visited Australia Zoo in January, I thought I might just add a bit to what I found out then as I didn't have as good of grasp of Australasia's elephant situation as i do now.
I chatted with two elephant keepers one on duty for a short while before he had to leave to go do work, and the other off duty. The off duty keeper I talked to was visiting with his family on his day off as he recently had moved from a zoo in the UK where he had also worked with elephants (I should have asked where, all I know is his accent was Northern).
Anyway the main vibe I got from him was that Australia Zoo was very relaxed (too much imo) on their whole situation. I think importing the elephants and renovating the exhibit was the equivalent to their Everest and now they reached the 'summit' they felt entitled to a deserved rest which I understand to an extent.
I asked him on Australia's Zoos plans regarding importing a Sumatran bull. I was told it would now just be one (they used to have plans for 2 I believe?) and from the sounds of it they haven't even earmarked one yet. He stated that covid had delayed all their plans for a bull, but imo from how relaxed he was I don't think Australia Zoo had even started looking or planning an exhibit prior to covid. The ETA he gave for a potential bull import was 2-5 years but he was really reluctant on putting a number on it and even admitted it could take a 'decade'. I think Australia Zoo just loves free contact too much as they can bring their elephants right up to the fence for visitors. When I visited the four times I walked by their exhibit there was always a couple of keepers in with the elephants, which I found a little disappointing. I could see importing an adult bull would really throw a spanner into their current routine.
He was also very adamant that Australia Zoo would be managing them at a subspecies level. I didn't ask about AI but I believe the distances between Java and the Sunshine coast might be a bit too extreme for a semen import. So AI with a Sumatran bull at say Taman Safari might be out of the question. I also have a theory that part of the deal with Taman Safari was to not hybridise their elephants. Australia Zoo might go back on this though as they aren't known for their trustworthiness.
When I also asked him about breeding in relation to the progressing ages of Megawati and Widya he wasn't too phased. Saying that they will not be attempting to breed at all from Megawati (in hindsight that's due to her TB) and that with Widya it was likely a no as well (maybe there is a reason here too?). He was confident that they could found a program around just Christina and Raflesia. I hope a fertility assessment has/will be done on these two as many zoos (i.e. Perth) have imported two cows they assumed they could breed from and neither worked out and even then fertility assessments sometimes are wrong (Tang Mo).
Lastly I also found out that Raflesia was half sisters (through her father) with one of the two cows on exhibit. He was referring to one of them as "she's actually half-sisters with raf (nickname) through their dad" but I forgot to dot down which cow it was on my notes after. I lean towards Christina and Raflesia being the half-sisters as they are closer in age then Raflesia and Widya. This isn't that big an issue anyway, as Australia Zoo are now only importing one bull, their calves will likely be half siblings anyway, or more like 5/8 siblings?
He also did mention Burma when I visited and in hindsight I should have known something was up back then. As when I asked about which of Aust Zoo's cows Burma would gel best with he said "She seems like a nice elephant but I don't know we'll see" a not very confident response imo. Especially when she was expected to arrive in under 6 months.
Apologies in advance again for my ramblings