North American Asian and African Elephant Populations: Discussion and Speculation

Bull Callee came in end of May (around the 25th) so I am guessing it would have been impossible for him to sire on the dot ..., Simunye (7 months pregnant) for that matter is probably sired by Ajani ... with Talia at the cut off point could be either Ajani or Callee and the last 2 confirmed definitely Callee (me hypothesising the possible scenario's).
Ajani being Simunye's calf's father very well could be true, but I heard that Callee began breeding the cows almost immediately after he arrived, so I would still put my money on Callee being the sire, though I wouldn't count Ajani out just yet we'll just have to wait and see.
 
So, rn, is there a tally on which living bulls are the most well represented?

Because, my God, Callee is making excellent progress
In the US, it’s Jackson by far in the lead, followed by Mabu, and in a VERY distant third, Maclean.

Jackson has nine kids and 10 grandkids (some of which are currently fetuses still), Mabu has 15 kids, two of which are still fetuses, and Mac has 4 kids. Bulwagi three kids, Sdudla three kids, Ali two kids one grandkid, Titan two kids, Tendaji one kid. Deceased Willy has two kids.

pretty poor founder rep, huh?
 
In the US, it’s Jackson by far in the lead, followed by Mabu, and in a VERY distant third, Maclean.

Jackson has nine kids and 10 grandkids (some of which are currently fetuses still), Mabu has 15 kids, two of which are still fetuses, and Mac has 4 kids. Bulwagi three kids, Sdudla three kids, Ali two kids one grandkid, Titan two kids, Tendaji one kid. Deceased Willy has two kids.

pretty poor founder rep, huh?

Who are Willy two kids??
 
In the US, it’s Jackson by far in the lead, followed by Mabu, and in a VERY distant third, Maclean.

Jackson has nine kids and 10 grandkids (some of which are currently fetuses still), Mabu has 15 kids, two of which are still fetuses, and Mac has 4 kids. Bulwagi three kids, Sdudla three kids, Ali two kids one grandkid, Titan two kids, Tendaji one kid. Deceased Willy has two kids.

pretty poor founder rep, huh?
This underlines that the management for the African elephant population in North America (AZA/beyond) as yet requires very careful planning now and well into the future with regard to growing the population exponentially while at the same time dealing with an ageing non reproductive cohorte of its population. This policy no doubt must keep a very close eye on levelling out founder representation and increasing genetic diversity and while slowly also replacing current set ups to a division into breeding herd locations, other zoos with bachelor facilities to house bulls only and zoos where only non-reproductive cow herds are to be held.

This is likely a process that will continue for another 2 decades and a 10-25 years time frame into the future to stabilise the current African elephant population given that natural elephant reproduction will see reproductive age cows only calve once every 4 to 6 years and consequent slow growth rates and long generational lengths to replace the current partially reproducing and good part not reproducing population.

Reproductive output

Short-Term

For now, the program needs to maximise the current reproductive output fast(er) and would have to rely on the current crop of bulls (as named above) with as a short term / stop gap measure to have the current proven bulls to successfully mate and impregnate a good and hopefully large portion of the available reproductive age cows and add new calves and new generations to the population with more a positive future outlook going into the future.

I would assume that the program is also looking into how more effectively get better founder representation from the current proven bulls like Mac, Bulwagi and Sdudla with low representation in the current elephant population. This is very much a medium term policy and requires frequent moves / transfers of adult proven breeding bulls between herds with reproductive age and cycling cows.

Long-Term
Down the line there is a real need to get more as yet not represented new bulls of breeding age into a position / at locations where they have access to and are able to breed a good number of reproductive age cows. The prime strategy is to bring out young and teenager bulls from the herd they were born into transfer to a bachelor herd or another breeding group where they can experience an adult breeding bull accustomed to and cool with the cows in the herd that he mates.

Lastly, ample consideration needs to be given to the fact that you put 18-35 age range bulls into that breeding situation and don't misuse bulls under age or 18+ and not having had access to conspecifics or an experienced breeding bull at any one time with cows of similar age range or even with their own mother present in the herd (major social structure default).

First Evidence?
Callee is one of the first of the new bulls who does seem to have broken the stalemate (even though he is effectively an F1 from well represented sire Jackson). When taken as an pre-adult to Omaha Henry Doorly he has proven to be a very efficient breeder at Omaha (so much so that now he quite possibly has sired a good number of the cows at Sedgwick County Zoo).

But of course, there is a need for far more young/new bulls of his stature to breed in the future: Titan may be a future possibility (but not in the herd where is mother Simnunye is still present) and he really needs to be moved out from there ASAP to a bachelor herd or a location where he can meet new young reproductive age cows or for the maantime to a herd where he has conspecifics of his sex and age range (in other words new bachelor herds are urgently needed).

Bachelor herds
ATM: there is only just the one dedicated bachelor herd facility at Birmingham Zoo. That is a situation that should not persist: At least 2-3 more zoos need to be found now and well into the future to house growing teenagers / not yet reproductively well suited growing bulls.

San Diego Zoo has not too long ago sent two of its Wild Animal Park bred young bulls over to the San Diego Zoo with F Shaba (non reproductive). Not sure if they have sufficiënt space they have though to house any further bulls on site. Caldwell Zoo seems to also have moved in that direction with 2 other San Diego bred bulls maintained with a non-reproductive older cow on site.

I honestly do think that bulls like Titan (Sedgwick County - Wichita), Samson (Baltimore) and Vus’musi (San Diego WAP) would obviously benefit from a move out of their birthing herd to a different zoo with more favorable sex/age ratio in terms of cows as I predict that in the current constellation with their both their mothers and much older experienced cows in their herds they will probably never breed.

Non reproductive cows/ageing cow herds
Quite a few herds within AZA have non reproductive cows and the population is offcourse ageing with a good number in the age classes wildcaught in the 70's, 80's and 90's. It would be best if with the local social structures in mind these herds are concentrated more in places that definitely see no opportunities to realistically provide for a breeding herd (quite a few are large and hold 4-7 members at least). Examples like Colorado Springs - Cheyenne Mountain and Memphis Zoos.

Zoos with a mix of both non reproductive and reproductive cows
(with no access to a bull)

Some of these zoos with older age range may have 1-2 cows of breeding age (the 10-20/25 age range) with some potential yet with no access to a proven bull or one in the right age class with non mother present. Not quite ideal either as they are part of a larger group with its own dynamics in social structure and who is the matriarch or not. Maryland Zoo, Baltimore (, Montgomery and Pittsburgh Zoos comes to mind. Some of these have been languishing at the paucity of any attempts to get their cows to breed naturally

The ideal of course would be a system of bulls being sent on B/L to a zoo to mate with their cows - if they cannot hold a bull permanently - and have him move on when he has got the job done and the cows have the room to roam much like they would in the wild.

Behavioral and mechanically non-breeding bulls
This subject has been partially dealt with here and there. For example bull Ajani (sent up from Sedgwick to Toledo) is cited as a possibly to be one and as is bull Osh at Oakland (where I believe the social structure with him as immigrant very kuch younger bull in a much older range cow social dynamic was hardly conducive to him becoming a breeding bull).

For now, I let this subject lie as I would need to check up why some bull combinations have failed and why. In / out of this category there are quite a few bulls that might do / don't fit into this category. I am convinced though that some of the non-breeding or deemed behaviorally maladjusted bulls may be more to do with social dynamics, stressors in their husbandry and simply an unnatural/sub-optimum social structure that are impediments to them breeding.

POST SCRIPTUM:
I have not yet taken into account how or why the reproductive potential for some of the bulls I mentioned (Bulwagi Mac, Sdudla) is as yet so low or that they may have sired further calves in the meantime. What is certain that the last word is not be said about this subject.

I would also like to delve a little deeper into why some cows do not breed as others do wthin their current social structure. I do believe there is an element where near siblings will not breed or at least one or more are suppresed by more dominant siblings from breeding. For now, that is just an inkling I get from similar evidence from other pachyderm species, notably rhinos.
 
Last edited:
I very much agree.

When you consider how often cows cycle, it’s probably likely Simunye happened to enter her reproductive window within the days following Callee’s arrival. Wanting her to get the best chance at conception asap (rather than waiting another cycle); they could’ve easily introduced her to Callee at this point in time. It’s not totally out of question.

Possible, but again, I imagine Callee would’ve been the bull in with the cows during the days they enter their conception period. Introducing Ajani (a bull who’s failed for years now) would’ve contradicted the whole reason they brought Callee in in the first place. He’s there to sire calves asap. Maybe after he’s done so might they allow Ajani to learn and give him a chance with the next cohort of calves.
Yeah, imo the fact that all these pregnancies ~mysteriously~ start up after a proven bull arrived can't be a coincidence. It can take bulls time to figure out the ropes, but Ajani had YEARS with the cows and clearly didn't show enough breeding potential for them to keep relying on him. At his age, I wouldn't bet on Ajani ever becoming proven naturally. It sucks, but he was never around a proven bull in his adolescence and evidently doesn't know what to do around cows. If he hasn't successfully showed breeding behaviors yet, then I doubt he ever will.

I will say that, unless the zoo is completely ignoring how elephants cycle, it appears that all three bulls were with the females while they were cycling. If Callee was indeed the only male with them over that time, then no doubt they'd be able to narrow him down as the father rather than adding Ajani and Titian into the options.

I too would like to hope for one calf of Ajani or Titian's because they are far more valuable, but the timing and the fact that Callee is the only proven bull of the three all but proves hes the father of this bunch.
 
This subject has been partially dealt with here and there. For example bull Ajani (sent up from Sedgwick to Toledo) is cited as a possibly to be one and as is bull Osh at Oakland (where I believe the social structure with him as immigrant very kuch younger bull in a much older range cow social dynamic was hardly conducive to him becoming a breeding bull).
Anyone feel free to correct this if I'm wrong, but aren't most of these behavioral non-breeder bulls from natal facilities without active breeding bulls themselves? Ajani is from Indianapolis, a facility notorious for utilizing AI rather than bringing in a bull, and Osh also never was around a bull growing up. Kedar in Indianapolis is also in a similar boat as is Louie from his natal facility Toledo.
From what it seems, facilities without proven males tend to produce males that simply don't know what to do. This is an issue within the Asian population too.

I do worry for facilities like Omaha, Indianapolis, etc going forward because of this problem. While it wouldn't be a huge crime if Callee's sons don't naturally breed, Indy's Jabari is one of the most valuable young males in the region and loosing him as a breeder would be a total waste. Same goes for Toledo if Renee ends up having a male calf (though fingers crossed for a girl!). I know transfers take time and bulls are much different to manage but we are at serious risk of loosing several valuable young males at this rate.
 
Last edited:
In the US, it’s Jackson by far in the lead, followed by Mabu, and in a VERY distant third, Maclean.

Jackson has nine kids and 10 grandkids (some of which are currently fetuses still), Mabu has 15 kids, two of which are still fetuses, and Mac has 4 kids. Bulwagi three kids, Sdudla three kids, Ali two kids one grandkid, Titan two kids, Tendaji one kid. Deceased Willy has two kids.

pretty poor founder rep, huh?
A damn shame that bulls like Machito, Macho and Chico we're never placed with breeding cows despite all of them being proven breeding bulls, while for Rip who was placed with breeding cows but never got pregnant, Rip should have been moved as soon as the weren't able to get pregnant.
 
Anyone feel free to correct this if I'm wrong, but aren't most of these behavioral non-breeder bulls from natal facilities without active breeding bulls themselves? Ajani is from Indianapolis, a facility notorious for utilizing AI rather than bringing in a bull, and Osh also never was around a bull growing up. Kedar in Indianapolis is also in a similar boat as is Louie from his natal facility Toledo.
From what it seems, facilities without proven males tend to produce males that simply don't know what to do. This is an issue within the Asian population too.

I do worry for facilities like Omaha, Indianapolis, etc going forward because of this problem. While it wouldn't be a huge crime if Callee's sons don't naturally breed, Indy's Jabari is one of the most valuable young males in the region and loosing him as a breeder would be a total waste. Same goes for Toledo if Renee ends up having a male calf (though fingers crossed for a girl!). I know transfers take time and bulls are much different to manage but we are at serious risk of loosing several valuable young males at this rate.
The main issue here is that in the past (and for part also the present) over-reliance on AI at some institutions. Whereas it might be a great stop gap measure short term, yet nothing will beat natural breeding by an experienced bull.

Another issue is the fact that young bulls need to transfer into bachelor herds to be among conspecifics and acquire the skill set to be assertive as a bull. These skills are indispensable to a bull ever becoming an adult bull enabled to mate and breed the cows die is put in with.

Fundamental in this respect is also zoos not opting to invest in full circle breeding facilities that accommodate both permanent exhibit space and stalls for a matriachal breeding group with mother / calf separation facilities as well as permanent housing for accomodating adult bull elephants.

NOTA BENE: In Europe, the current policy is mandatory upon zoos that zoos that would like to have a breeding group have both matriarchal herd and bull stand alone facilities. The best solution to the main problem to have permanent facilities for housing an adult breeding bull.....
 
I think a clear solution here is more bachelor specific facilities.
Denver is a wonderful and unfortunately unique facility in it's ability to house a large male-only herd. I'm not as familiar with the African bachelor holding but as far as I know there's only one and it is capable of only holding a small number.

While NA isn't facing an overabundance of males yet as in Europe. Bachelor facilities are a nesscesity to ensure males aren't taking up space in their natal facilities, behavioral non breeders aren't in breeding facilities, and that rotation of males as population demographics shift is possible and relatively much simpler.

Among Asian holders, I would really like to see older facilities like Dickerson Park, Bronx or San Antonio make alterations for bachelor holding versus breeding herds. With Tulsa, LA and Miami presumably planning on receiving reproductive cows, we'll have bases covered in the breeding department for years yet.

Im much less familiar with African holders, so I can't say much in that department.
 
It would appear that there are four more confirmed pregnant African elephants in the population from the original 9 for a total of 13 pregnancies as stated in this video, though the SCZ has stated that Zuberi is not yet confirmed pregnant


My best guesses on the four other cows are Kianga, Zola, Mbali and Matjeka.
Logical guesses, only other possibilities I could think of is if Tamani at KC got the job done fast with the cows from Hogle.
 
This is a bit of a stretch but I think Omaha could have a pregnancy or two as well considering Kiki and Claire had both gone a year after having their calves in January 2022 before Callee left for Sedgwick. Considering how good of a breeder Callee is, I wouldn't be surprised if he managed to impregnate one or both of those girls being leaving. That being said, we really don't need more Callee calves in the population and I really hope Omaha just gets a new, more valuable bull.
 
Logical guesses, only other possibilities I could think of is if Tamani at KC got the job done fast with the cows from Hogle.
Even if Christie or Zuri happened to conceive so soon with Tamani, it feels uncharacteristically premature to announce a pregnancy that soon. I assume that if conception was successful when they were introduced, we'll hear the news in about 4-6 months
 
My best guesses on the four other cows are Kianga, Zola, Mbali and Matjeka.

Those are good guesses and all four live with proven bulls. But I wouldn’t discard Donna (DAK), Luna and Vasha (its been a while since her last calf but look at Renee)

There is the possibility of AI with Pittsburgh’s 3 younger females and Makena at Montgomery Zoo.
 
Even if Christie or Zuri happened to conceive so soon with Tamani, it feels uncharacteristically premature to announce a pregnancy that soon. I assume that if conception was successful when they were introduced, we'll hear the news in about 4-6 months
It is possible that Christie and/or Zuri's pregnancies have been shared amongst African holding facilities but will not be specifically announced until much later. I would imagine pregnancy news, even very early along, would be something facilities would communicate with one another.
 
It is possible that Christie and/or Zuri's pregnancies have been shared amongst African holding facilities but will not be specifically announced until much later. I would imagine pregnancy news, even very early along, would be something facilities would communicate with one another.
Considering they haven’t been introduced to Tamani yet it’s very unlikely they’re pregnant, unless they were both pregnant via AI before they left or something. But that doesn’t make much sense considering they left so zuri could finally get pregnant.
 
Back
Top