It's polar bear denning season now so I thought I would ask which pairs people think are most likely to be successful. It has been confirmed by other members on this site that Suka, Aurora, and Neva are denning, and I would assume most of the other females in breeding pairs are as well.
Would it be fair to say that while Suka didn't have any cubs last year, she is probably the most likely of the eight females in a breeding situation to have cubs? She and Aurora have both produced cubs with the males they are paired with now, but they were both unsuccessful last year and Suka last gave birth more recently than Aurora.
Qannik in Louisville is a founder that was only first paired for breeding this year thanks to U.S. Senator Rand Paul, but as she was only first recommended to breed this year, she is unproven. Borealis, the male she is paired with, is also unproven, but he has never been paired before either. With all of that in mind, I would say she is third most likely to give birth this year. Does that seem like an accurate assessment to everyone?
The other five breeding pairs at:
- Brookfield Zoo Chicago
- Utah's Hogle Zoo
- Memphis Zoo
- Lincoln Park Zoo
- Buffalo Zoo
have each been together at least a few years with no success, so I'm not holding my breath for cubs there. That said, I hope to be pleasantly surprised.