Wow very tragic and unexpected news. My thoughts are with the keepers and of course the chimp community, especially Cebeli.
It’s a large shame as Cebeli was a big support to Ceres and this loss will surely effect Ceres’s status. It’s also tragic as she was almost destined to remain in the troop to breed long term.
Ceres being 33 does concern me a bit. She’ll only have two, maybe three offspring at most. Since she’s never destined to be a high ranking female, support from offspring would have been essential going forward and Cebeli would’ve provided that for her, especially when she too would’ve breed down the line. Ceres will now have to rely on maybe some sons to help her going forward but taking into account her age any future offspring won’t be around with her long enough to provide major support in adulthood.
I had the same thought. Shabani and Samaki will likely not site any more infants; and the same might go for Sudi too if Shikamoo and Sule stay in power. I do see Taronga’s reasoning on breeding Shiba more frequently than the other females now; Susie’s line will be heavily reliant on breeding from Shiba’s daughters now. It would make a whole lot of sense for Sembe to be bred from in the next interval.
Cebele would have been a great support to Ceres in raising this next infant. Unlike some of the previous juveniles, Cebele appeared to be quite maternal and enjoyed carrying around Safiri and Niambi at times. There’s five years between Liwali and Safiri - and Cebele bridged that gap.
Ceres future prospects in the community aren’t helped by this concept of delaying breeding females until their mid-teens. Though Cebele would have been subject to this, at least her breeding would have only been eight years away. If her next offspring is female, it’d be nice to see an exception made to this rule.
Considering Ceres is more settled in the community, albeit not high ranking, they may allow her to breed at natural birth intervals in producing her next offspring after the infant due in September. Potentially she could have offspring in 2023, 2027 and then a final offspring circa 2032. Males don’t enter the hierarchy until around 10 years of age, so Ceres will be at least mid-40’s before she sees any benefit from a son.
I’m tempted to say if Sule doesn’t sire any infants conceived, Shikamoo will. It won’t be like the Lubutu/Samaki leadership for obvious reasons and so it’s certainly less likely the other males will succeed via opportune matings.
I hope they breed from Sembe soon. She would certainly benefit from having an infant from a social perspective and like you say, it’s beneficial to ensure representation of Susie. While Malika at Wellington is third generation, she’s it’d also make sense to breed from her while Alexis is in power. He’s a better match than Bakari, who’s her half-brother and a likely contender for alpha male in the near future.