Great evaluation! I absolutely agree.I took a look at the other two rhino programs in the region and came up with this assessment.
Southern Black Rhino
The current population is 5.4 at TWPZ and 2.0 at Monarto Safari Park.
A. The breeding program at TWPZ is now fully functioning and on its own reasonably effective. The current breeding population is 0.2 as they lost their breeding bull Kwanzaa (US born) quite recently and a potential 1.0 in their bull Chikundo. The outlook with 2 currently reproducing cows (FF Bakhita and Kufara) and 2 young females (FF Mesi and Sabi Star) bodes well for the future.
B.i) The program requires other active holders with potential and needs for regular animal exchanges. Firstly, Monarto Safari Park has maintained a bachelor herd of 2.0 (MM Induna and Sentwali) and needs to come on board as a breeding institution and would require 0.2 to be added to their facility. TWZP should provide one of their current female calves to set up a first breeding pair at Monarto.
B.ii) An outside infusion of new blood is imperative fo the Australasian southern black rhino population both from Eswatini (MM + FF) and/or the US (mainly as they hold a surplus of unrelated bulls).
Indian Greater One-Horned Rhino
Currently, only one holder - TWPZ with 2.1 individuals:
Without another holder coming on board this program will prove not sustainable in the ZAA region and another dead end in the making. The tiny Australian population is not even co-coordinated with either AZA or EAZA. New founders and new holders in the region would be extremely helpful.
Re. the Black Rhino population, we also have to consider the relations of the current cows to the current bulls at Dubbo. Bakhita (2002) is related to all the current bulls at Dubbo; with them either being her half brothers or sons. Conversely, Monarto hold the only male in the region unrelated to her - Induna (2003). The only other adult female, Kufara, being Bakhita's daughter is also therefore related to all the bulls too, even Induna as they share the same sire. Therefore the only unrelated pairing in the region at the moment is Bakhita and Induna. Sending Bakhita to Monarto would make the most sense imo. But imports are drastically needed to prevent further inbreeding!
Re. the Indian Rhinos, it was rumored the city zoos eg. Perth, Melbourne and Taronga may possibly acquire Indian Rhinos as replacements for their elephants. At this point it now seems none of the three will end up acquiring them, which is a shame. I would be very surprised to see Werribee acquire them anytime soon; but hopefully Monarto (being Monarto) can be a lifesaver and import an unrelated pair. I don't see why a smaller zoo (like Altina or Darling Downs) shouldn't be interested in them too!
EDIT: Just seen @Zoofan15's post which pretty much mirrors mine; obviously there's a very obvious view onto the regional populations at the moment - new holders/imports for both seem the most logical course to continue sustainable regional populations for each species.