Massive news re the gorilla transfer. I'm presuming opportunities for import have been exhausted, and if that is the case, then I think it's the right call - albeit I'm a little saddened that Kibale's troop is being broken up. While it's not out of the question for Taronga to resume holding a breeding troop in the future, it is the end of an era for now.
From Jambo's information, it sounds like Johari is being transferred to Melbourne - although I agree with other posters that it's still a possibility that Mbeli and Frala are going to Melbourne, which would likely necessitate Johari's transfer to Mogo, because that seems to make a lot of sense. Leaving Taronga with the males, plus one female, doesn't seem like a viable solution, and Mogo seems like a likely destination for the remaining female.
A reason why not could be if Frala is no longer cycling (or there is generally doubt around her reproductive health) and therefore it is feared that Otana wouldn't accept her as a post-reproductive female. I don't know whether or not this would be a genuine concern. There's a risk in transferring Johari to Melbourne, although she would likely be reuniting with some keepers who would have knowledge about how to work with her effectively - from speaking with someone who has worked with her at Taronga, she's a fairly different personality.
If Johari did transfer to Mogo, I agree there is a greater capacity she could breed. I would be concerned whether or not that is merely repeating the cycle (while it's wonderful Kaius is alive, it's yet to be determined how 'socially normal' he will be as an adult in terms of breeding), although I understand most of the reason she hasn't bred is because she finds silverback attention overwhelming due to her handraised background. Taking her off contraception to get her pregnant (at Mogo or Melbourne) may simply not be worth the risk.
Certainly interesting times for the region's gorilla population. I await to see what will happen and I trust the zoos will keep us informed when the transfers take place.
My assessment is that overseas imports may happen in the future (even if it’s in 10-15 years time), but the region had two pressing issues that needed to be addressed (the adolescent males in Taronga’s troop needing to transfer out; and Melbourne’s troop reduced to a single female) and this was the most effective way to address both issues within a matter of months.
I would further suggest there’s no females currently available for import right here and now, otherwise there’s no reason Melbourne (and Taronga) couldn’t have already been working towards such a goal. Melbourne’s troop has lacked structure at least since Yuska died, even if Kimya’s death did take things to a critical level.
That’s a good point regarding Frala, who at 44 years old, is well past her prime. Dispersal age begins from eight years in this species, so she’s far from the typical immigrant into a new troop. However, Johari being on contraception was indeed to lessen the interest of the silverback in her. Unless they plan to throw her in at the deep end immediately upon her arrival (which seems unlikely), it appears she’d be joining Otana’s troop as a non-cycling female and therefore no more or less desirable than a post reproductive female (which Frala may or may not be).
Melbourne will also need to be aware of a honeymoon period that often follows great ape introductions. It appears this was the case of Julia and G-Anne, who were initially tolerated by Otana; but later rejected (in Julia’s case, the stress of a new infant in the troop was attributed to Otana’s intolerance reaching breaking point). Mbeli breeding in a year, two years could flare up tensions between Otana/Johari.