Australian Asian Elephant Population 2025

The capacity of the complex is around 20 to 25 elephants give or take, with this accounting for bulls too. With that in mind, I do think we could expect to see the goal to be for the herd numbers to double within the next fifteen years (until 2040). This can easily be achieved via the ten calves you mention above (which accounting for the eventual passing of Mek Kapah at least), should eventually give them a herd numbering in the late teens.

The 2028 cohort is also all pretty much confirmed - all three current mothers will breed again. I'm hoping Dokkoon will also be given the chance to have a fourth calf being a valuable founder, but I do understand why she may not due to her age and current representation.
I agree with you they should breed Dokkoon again lets face it Monarto zoo are going to need younger elephants at some point to get this herd started on a breeding coarse!
 
I agree with you they should breed Dokkoon again lets face it Monarto zoo are going to need younger elephants at some point to get this herd started on a breeding coarse!

It would be worthwhile breeding Dokkoon again in my opinion when you consider she only has two surviving offspring to date and is a founder. As mentioned, it’s more or less a given that all three cows will be breeding again with the next few years, which will hopefully add more females to the numbers.

Num-Oi’s line contains only two cows (Dokkoon’s has three), so another female from Num-Oi would be optimal and assuming survival of both daughters, set her up well for succession of her line. A female from Mali would be beneficial in allowing her to continue her matriline (as per my previous post).
 
It would be worthwhile breeding Dokkoon again in my opinion when you consider she only has two surviving offspring to date and is a founder. As mentioned, it’s more or less a given that all three cows will be breeding again with the next few years, which will hopefully add more females to the numbers.

Num-Oi’s line contains only two cows (Dokkoon’s has three), so another female from Num-Oi would be optimal and assuming survival of both daughters, set her up well for succession of her line. A female from Mali would be beneficial in allowing her to continue her matriline (as per my previous post).
If there were a plan in place to have the 3 open range zoos breeding elephants would be the ideal situation with of coarse Sydney zoo doing its bit with two imported bulls. Australia zoo is a lost cause elephant wise even though they have the room for a breeding herd!
 
You should start a new thread for speculation and ideas about the future to keep this one for news. The news gets totally lost due the amount of speculation here.

I feel this approach is better suited to the North American and European forums due to their larger population sizes and the high volume of births, deaths and transfers to keep track of.

Assuming no deaths, the extent of the 2025 population events will be three zoos phasing out (Melbourne, Taronga, Perth); a new holder emerging (Werribee); and a calf being born later this year (Dubbo). In terms of transfers, this represents the most eventful year in the history of this species in the region. It’s entirely possible there won’t be a single transfer, birth or death throughout 2026.
 
But there will surely news about how the elephants are doing post transfer etc. All that gets totally lost in the speculation because compared to the European and US elephant enthusiasts, you guys here are the kings of speculation. This thread is 10% news and discussion about the news and 90% speculation.
 
But there will surely news about how the elephants are doing post transfer etc. All that gets totally lost in the speculation because compared to the European and US elephant enthusiasts, you guys here are the kings of speculation. This thread is 10% news and discussion about the news and 90% speculation.

To be fair, this thread doesn’t claim to be a news thread. It serves as an all in one news, discussion and speculation thread for Australia’s elephant population and has run that way for five years now.

Each of the zoos holding elephants has a news thread and this is where news is posted. We all make an effort where possible not to speculate in the news threads (or have lengthy discussions); and as such move the conversation to the relevant population thread to continue it so as not to clog up the news threads.

My opinion is this thread for the most part serves to contain elephant discussion/speculation to a single thread, which benefits those disinterested in seeing multiple threads for a species clogging up the Australian forum.
 
But there will surely news about how the elephants are doing post transfer etc. All that gets totally lost in the speculation because compared to the European and US elephant enthusiasts, you guys here are the kings of speculation. This thread is 10% news and discussion about the news and 90% speculation.
European and American enthusiasts sound rather dull...
 
That is a great documentary. How many parts would there be? They really do not talk about Luk Chai that much as of yet.

It will be a three part documentary:

Part 1 - Arrival of Luk Chai; death of Man Jai; birth of calves

Part 2 - Preparation for the move; construction of complex

Part 3 - The move to Werribee; settling in
I am hoping at the end of all of the documentary that Zoo Victoria post I hope they reveal what will take over the old habitat at Melbourne Zoo

That would be nice, but I understand the documentary will focus solely on the elephants as they haven’t otherwise shared this information via other channels.
 
It will be a three part documentary:

Part 1 - Arrival of Luk Chai; death of Man Jai; birth of calves

Part 2 - Preparation for the move; construction of complex

Part 3 - The move to Werribee; settling in


That would be nice, but I understand the documentary will focus solely on the elephants as they haven’t otherwise shared this information via other channels.
Hopefully they might mention the future prospects they have for the herd in the future
 
It will be a three part documentary:

Part 1 - Arrival of Luk Chai; death of Man Jai; birth of calves

Part 2 - Preparation for the move; construction of complex

Part 3 - The move to Werribee; settling in

Thanks. Yeah, they talked about Luk Chai but not much focus on him as they talked about Heman, Man Jai, and the calves and the exhibit. I was wondering like how they prepared Luk Chai for moving, working with him, etc.
 
Hopefully they might mention the future prospects they have for the herd in the future

I hope so. I attended a talk by Zoos Victoria last year and it was really interesting to hear more about their succession planning for the herd.

Werribee has what’s arguably the best elephant complex in the world and they have the largest integrated herd in the region, so it would surely be of interest to people to hear about plans to expand the herd.

All I know at this stage is they’ll be another cohort of calves sired by Luk Chai (with plans then reviewed on a five yearly cycle). A year to settle into the complex, followed by a 22 month gestation will ensure an influx of visitors as the novelty of the complex begins to wear off over the next three years.
 
Thanks. Yeah, they talked about Luk Chai but not much focus on him as they talked about Heman, Man Jai, and the calves and the exhibit. I was wondering like how they prepared Luk Chai for moving, working with him, etc.

Luk Chai featured more in the first episode; but the focus on Bong Su (one of Melbourne Zoo’s most iconic residents) illustrates the advances in welfare that will benefit his descendants. All of Melbourne’s elephants are managed in protected contact, so the training of Luk Chai would have been similar to that of the cows/calves in terms of positive reinforcement etc.

I went behind the scenes of Melbourne Zoo’s Trail of the Elephant complex in December 2023 and got to see Luk Chai’s moving crate amongst other things. It’s the only crate designed to accomodate a full grown bull elephant; with the cow/calf crates designed for mothers and calves; and Mek Kepah’s crate designed for use by either an adult female or an adolescent male. This same crate would have been used to transfer Man Jai (in conjunction with Luk Chai) had he not passed.
 
I was wondering if they were planning on a bachelor herd since they already have the facilities. We will see.

The Werribee complex features two paddocks which long term are planned to accomodate an adult bull in each. There will be a tree line to shield their line of sight to reduce stress; with their awareness of the presence of the other bull intended to be stimulating rather than threatening.

With that in mind, I don’t anticipate Werribee will hold a bachelor herd for any length of time. Luk Chai will remain on site after the birth of the next cohort of calves (possibly for life) and serve as a mentor to Roi-Yim, who will begin his transition out of the matriarchal herd around the age of 6-8 years.

For now, Luk Chai has the run of both bull paddocks, but I’d expect the other to accomodate first Roi-Yim (allowing for regular contact sessions with his father); and long term (a decade from now), the new breeding bull.
 
I hope so. I attended a talk by Zoos Victoria last year and it was really interesting to hear more about their succession planning for the herd.

Werribee has what’s arguably the best elephant complex in the world and they have the largest integrated herd in the region, so it would surely be of interest to people to hear about plans to expand the herd.

All I know at this stage is they’ll be another cohort of calves sired by Luk Chai (with plans then reviewed on a five yearly cycle). A year to settle into the complex, followed by a 22 month gestation will ensure an influx of visitors as the novelty of the complex begins to wear off over the next three years.
I know ZoosVic are way out in front with this herd and complex and appear to have all the bases covered but if they could only find a way to include a Perth bull breeding within the herd, As we know anything can happen at anytime as it did with Bong Su this bull is to valuable to lose and not to include his bloodline more than just the one living calf at Dubbo. Also both his calfs had been female!
 
I know ZoosVic are way out in front with this herd and complex and appear to have all the bases covered but if they could only find a way to include a Perth bull breeding within the herd, As we know anything can happen at anytime as it did with Bong Su this bull is to valuable to lose and not to include his bloodline more than just the one living calf at Dubbo. Also both his calfs had been female!

So much hinges on his ability to sire calves naturally as if he’s able to successfully breed at Monarto (siring 2-3 calves over the next decade), he could then be loaned to Werribee Open Range Zoo, where’s he unrelated to all of their cows.

Otherwise, I hope consideration will be given to undertaking AI as a backup at Monarto. Pak Boon is an unrepresented founder and it would be a great shame to lose her from the breeding programme.

The alternative is that a son of Putra Mas and Pak Boon could one day be sent to Werribee - possibly for the third cohort of calves if one is born within the next five years.
 
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