They don't have the space to accomodate the large herd they'll soon have. Especially with Joy and Tilly joining the breeding program in five or so years time; giving Houstan five breeding females (if they elect to continue breeding Tess into her 40's, which I doubt).
Psh are you kidding? Houston should (and likely will) continue to breed from Tess as along as she’s fit to do so, which hopefully will be into her late 40’s-early 50’s. Unlike Australia who has the ever present concern of not enough holding space, and Europe, who has bred them so well they’re also running of holding space, the states is desperately in need of more cows breeding and calves being born (And surviving). Between attrition and herpes the population is in severe trouble, and Tess is in the unique situation where she is well set up to continue breeding for as long as her reproductive cycle is able to do so, and at a facility that will actually permit it. Moreover, considering Houston currently has 13 animals (8 of which are past the major herpes concern age), they are also in the perfect situation that they’ll likely have to worry less and less about fatal herpes flareups for calves due to the overall herd immunity they’ll receive from all the older animals shedding it periodically.
Regardless of that though, all of this is purely conjecture at this point and likely still several years away.
Edit: this is an North American population thread, not the zoom Miami thread, so I’ll expand a bit more. In theory, the easiest move for Houston to take would be to retain Shanti and Joy (and any female calves born to Shanti and Thai in the future) and use Tucker as their new breeding bull after Thailand passes away. The Tess family could then be sent out to another facility to start up a breeding herd there (this is entirely speculation on my behalf, but I could see Tulsa being a likely candidate, both in terms of facility needs and distance wise, plus Tulsa will have SPACE as well). Alternately, if Houston wanted to retain the Tess family instead, it would be easy enough to relocate the Shanti family and then simply bring in a new bull from elsewhere.
Regardless, there are a couple of realities one has to consider with Houston. Ultimately, although they’re both in good health and condition right now, Thailand and Methai are both geriatric animals who sadly likely won’t be around in 10 years time. Baylor and Duncan will both be ready to head to new facilities to breed within the next 5-10 years as well (or even sooner for Baylor). For all we know, they might simply opt to send out Tucker as well, bring in a totally new bull, and keep the entire female herd intact. They’re fairly hemmed in now, but they could potentially even decide to expand the exhibit again as well. Management could decided a large, dynamic and reproductively successful elephant herd is more important than a reptile house, or patch of woods providing a visual barrier to the near by primate exhibits.