That second link isn't working for me, but thanks. I haven't seen that before. However, the first link doesn't support the idea that dogs originated from gray wolves instead of them both being from a common ancestor. Two relevant quotes:
"Thus regardless of our assumptions on the identity of the wolf population from which dogs originated, we infer that dogs diverged from the sampled wolf populations at about the same time these wolf populations diverged from each other."
"Another alternative is that the wolf population (or populations) from which dogs originated has gone extinct and the current wolf diversity from each region represents novel younger wolf lineages, as suggested by their recent divergence from each other (
Figure 5A). Our inference that wolves have gone through bottlenecks across Eurasia (
Figures 3B,
5A) suggests a dynamic period for wolf populations over the last 20,000 years and that extinction of particular lineages is not inconceivable. Indeed, several external lines of evidence provide support for substantial turnover in wolf lineages."
The two other alternatives were both described as "unlikely".