SealPup
Well-Known Member
Rafting was (theoretically) more common in the Palaeogene when the currents were different and vegetation lusher (rafts form in lush environments). The ocean and climate have not been stable through the Tertiary, and back then it wasn't tough to cross the channel.Except the slight problem that all available evidence suggests that rafting to Madagascar was anything but commonplace, Madagascar is separated by several hundreds of kilometres of treacherous waters (at least 450 km and often more), distances much bigger than the Caribbean or the Amazon. It was actually so hard to cross that barrier that only 4 mammalian ancestor species (except flying bats and swimming hippopotami) made the cross successfully over a period of about 40 million years. It was so hard to cross that man colonized Madagascar not from nearby east Africa, but from Malaysia as you probably know and that only within the last 2000 years (though they had to deal with a different monsoon pattern, making it even more difficult). So all evidence at hand suggests that rafting across the Mozambique channel was extremely tough and it is thus highly unlikely large populations could cross within a small time period. Do they all descend from one pregnant female, probably not, but it almost can't have been much more given the rarity of successful crossings....
Tenrecs must've got in from Africa, because crown placentals were absent from the Cretaceous of India and Africa when that piece of Gondwana fragmented. The carnivores must have, probably before the early Miocene when the currents already made it harder, which fits the upper estimation of the euplerid LCA. So yes, multiple raftings took place in the Palaeogene when it was easier.
Mammalian biodiversity on Madagascar controlled by ocean currents